Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000125 0.000138 0.000152 0.000169 0.000187 0.000206 0.000229
2025-06-29 0.000098 0.000116 0.000137 0.000163 0.000195 0.000233 0.000282
2025-07-06 0.000080 0.000100 0.000124 0.000156 0.000198 0.000250 0.000323
2025-07-13 0.000070 0.000092 0.000119 0.000156 0.000208 0.000277 0.000378
2025-07-20 0.000064 0.000086 0.000116 0.000159 0.000220 0.000306 0.000439
2025-07-27 0.000058 0.000080 0.000111 0.000158 0.000227 0.000328 0.000491
2025-08-03 0.000054 0.000077 0.000109 0.000160 0.000238 0.000358 0.000559
2025-08-10 0.000049 0.000072 0.000105 0.000158 0.000243 0.000376 0.000611
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000068 0.000101 0.000156 0.000247 0.000396 0.000666
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000063 0.000097 0.000153 0.000249 0.000411 0.000715
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000059 0.000092 0.000149 0.000248 0.000419 0.000753
2025-09-07 0.000036 0.000057 0.000090 0.000149 0.000254 0.000443 0.000822
2025-09-14 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000151 0.000265 0.000476 0.000917
2025-09-21 0.000031 0.000052 0.000085 0.000148 0.000266 0.000491 0.000980
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000141 0.000261 0.000494 0.001017
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000046 0.000078 0.000142 0.000268 0.000523 0.001116
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000078 0.000144 0.000279 0.000560 0.001238
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000143 0.000284 0.000584 0.001334
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000042 0.000075 0.000145 0.000295 0.000624 0.001477
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000040 0.000073 0.000143 0.000297 0.000645 0.001572
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000142 0.000301 0.000668 0.001679
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000036 0.000069 0.000139 0.000301 0.000683 0.001769
2025-11-23 0.000018 0.000034 0.000066 0.000135 0.000297 0.000689 0.001830